No longer safe as houses?

More pain ahead for the property market

Latest figures released by the Bank of England have shown that mortgage approvals in April dropped to their lowest level since records began in 1993. The reduction in lending is likely to cause more problems in the housing market, with Morgan Stanley predicting that house prices will fall 10% by the end of 2012.

Not only is this bad news for homeowners, but it may also start to cause further problems in the beleagured banking sector. Many banks are still massively exposed to moves in house prices, due to mortgage deals arranged during the last decade. In particular, The Telegraph reported that Lloyds TSB may be hard hit, with up to one quarter of its mortgage customers in negative equity by 2012. Analysts suggested that this could mean that mortgages totalling up to £90 billion were potentially affected, at this one bank alone.

However, as always, statistics can tell a thousand different stories and the Council of Mortgage Lenders issued a prediction that 'net' mortgage lending (stripping out redemptions and repayments) would actually rise during 2011 to £9 billion, up from £8 billion last year. This may sound like a lot of money, certainly enough to keep the current Mrs Moorhead in the manner to which she would like to become accustomed. But in 2006, the last year that mortgage lending rose, the total lending was £110 billion. That's right, £110 billion. So we are currently running at about 8.2% of 2006 mortgage lending levels. No wonder the housing market is in the doldrums, but also no wonder that so many homeowners, and banks, found themselves in seriously deep water.

As ever, when money matters go wrong, we can help. My number is 01709 331300.

Good news for homeowners - but will it last?

Repossessions fall - but is this the calm before the storm?

The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) today announced a decline in the number of housed repossessed by mortgage lenders in the second quarter of 2010. In the three months to the end of June, there were 9.400 repossessions, down from 9,800 in the previous quarter and considerably below the same quarter last year, when 11,800 properties were taken back by first charge mortgage lenders.

As a result, the CML have revised down their forecasts for repossessions in 2010 as a whole from 53,000 to 39,000, a reduction of around 25%.

The number of mortgages in arrears has also reduced, with 178,200 mortgages in arrears equivalent to 2.5% or more of the mortgage balance. This is 5% lower than at the end of March and a whopping 17% lower than the same period last year.

These figures have surprised many in the industry, with mortgage difficulties being contained below the levels that the CML expected at the start of the year, and in comparison to the recession at the start of the 1990s.

I don’t want to be accused of talking down this good news. But I’m afraid that this is just a lull, an aberration, before things get worse. There are some important factors that make this downturn different to the 1990s recession. Firstly, the headline interest rate is at an historic low: at some stage, rates will start to increase and many homeowners who are currently struggling to keep their heads above water will sink beneath the waves. Secondly, the Government is struggling to cope with crippling levels of debt and has indicated that wide-ranging cuts in public spending will be used to help balance the books. Nobody knows for certain what the effects of those cuts will be, but rising unemployment and increased job insecurity will surely become a reality for many more homeowners in the months and years to come.

If you have financial problems and are worried about how this will affect your home, call me today on 01709 331300 for a free, no-obligation and confidential chat.

Getting away from it all can lead to problems back home

Millions get into debt for a holiday

The insolvency trade body R3 released figures today showing that over 2 million holidaymakers have got into debt to pay for holidays this year and will spend an average of seven months paying it back.

The research, carried out in the middle of July by pollsters GfK NOP reveals that 2,329,500 people had to borrow on average £1,130 to pay for a summer getaway.

Now I like a holiday as much as the next insolvency practitioner and to many, a spend of just over £1,000 on a big holiday may not be too shocking. In fact, I wonder if the ‘real’ figure for holiday spending is much more, but the individuals surveyed didn’t have an accurate idea of exactly how much they would spend: the flights and hotel may be around £1,000 but how much more unplanned spending goes on food and booze, sightseeing trips and souvenirs?

In my experience, the problem often tends to be that the holiday spending comes on top of other unsecured debts that have mounted up through the year. This kind of spending can be the final straw for many people, who return home to credit card bills and loan repayments that they simply can’t afford.

The good news is, no matter how debts have been incurred, there is help available. If you’ve returned from your summer holidays and found that you’ve got more than a few photos and a bottle of the local firewater to remind you of your trip, give me or one of my colleagues a call on 01709 331300. We can help.